Northline Markets · Interest rates

US federal funds effective rate

The rate at which US banks lend reserves to one another overnight, as a weekly average; the Federal Reserve steers it toward its target range.

Latest value3.88%percent
Observation date2026-11-04
Change, 1 year-0.23 ptsfrom 4.11% on 2025-10-29
Change, 5 years+3.80 ptsfrom 0.08% on 2021-11-03

Weekly, delayed Observed 2026-11-04 · retrieved 2026-11-07 · Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (H.15) · Not a live quote.

History

US federal funds effective rate over time

Weekly observations. Use the period buttons to change the range; the table beneath the chart lists the values.

US federal funds effective rate

%.

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Latest values: US federal funds effective rate 3.88 (2026-11-04).

What it measures

What this indicator is and why it is watched

What it measures

The rate at which US banks lend reserves to one another overnight, as a weekly average; the Federal Reserve steers it toward its target range.

Why it is watched

It anchors US short-term borrowing costs and influences global financial conditions.

Economic context

How it connects to the wider economy

Context, not a claim of cause.

Canadian and US policy rates are set independently and have not always moved together; the gap between them is one of several things economists watch alongside exchange rates.

Northline describes relationships as documented mechanisms, statistical associations or hypotheses. Nothing on this page states that a movement in this indicator caused a movement in another.

Method and source

How the data are produced

Publisher
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (H.15)
Dataset
Federal Reserve statistical release H.15
Frequency
Weekly
Unit
%
Observations
984 (long history)
Retrieved
2026-11-07
Series id
gl22_us_fed_funds

Weekly average of daily effective rates, Federal Reserve H.15. The effective rate is market-determined within the Fed target range.

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Selected Interest Rates (H.15), Federal funds effective rate. Values unmodified; Treasury yields are Treasury-published constant-maturity estimates.

Licence conditions: attribution required.

Missing observations are left missing and are never interpolated. Statistical agencies can revise published values; the observation date and retrieval date above identify the version shown. Methodology and sources.

Investigate

Take it into Intelligence Studio

Add this indicator to a workspace with related series and the recorded relationships.

Questions worth testing

In Studio, the Scenarios tab can ask a what-if question about this indicator. Scenario Intelligence applies its usual checks: when there is too little history, the series are not comparable or the relationship is not stable, it reports “not enough evidence” rather than a number.